1a. In language a jury could
understand, explain what we mean by a "1 in a million risk of death, per year."
How many deaths from this risk would we expect in the entire U.S., with a population of 280 million?
Note: I reserve the right to change the numbers in the problem,
if it is used on the final exam.
1b. Table 1 of Breyer (1992) is attached to this exam. Does
this table provide sufficient information for one to determine
the risk of death per year from tobacco? Answer Yes or No,
and explain your answer (one word + one sentence answer)
Partial answer: No.
1c. Table 1 shows that tobacco and diet are much more
important causes of cancer than pollution. Is there
serious dispute about this conclusion in the scientific
literature? Answer Yes or No, not Maybe.
Answer: No.
1d. Table 2 of Breyer (1992) presents information on
"Annual rate (deaths per million)." (Table 2 is attached to
this exam). An annual rate of death of 10 per million corresponds
to a risk of death per year of _____________________.
Answer: 1 in one hundred thousand.
Note: I reserve the right to change the numbers on this
question, if it is on the final exam.